晶硅太阳能在“双碳”经济中的作用与影响
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1.中国恩菲工程技术有限公司, 北京 100038 ; 2.洛阳中硅高科技有限公司, 河南 洛阳 471003 ;3.硅基材料制备技术国家工程研究中心, 河南 洛阳 471003 ; 4.中国有色工程有限公司, 北京 100038

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严大洲(1963—),男,汉族,中南大学硕士,教授级高级工程师,中国恩菲工程技术有限公司副总工程师,硅基材料制备技术国家工程研究中心主任。

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F416.32;F416.2

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Effect and impact of crystalline silicon solar energy in the “double carbon” economy
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    摘要:

    我国的碳排放居世界首位,2020年碳排放量为115亿t。在我国一次能源消费中,化石能源尤其是煤炭仍占据主导地位,2019年消费比例达到57.7%。近年来,虽然我国单位GDP碳排放已明显下降,但仍高于世界平均水平,而多晶硅及晶硅光伏产业是近年来发展起来的清洁能源,有望成为实现“碳中和”目标的重要支撑。2019年中国光伏总发电量2243亿kW·h,占全国总发电量的3.1%,中国发展改革委规划2050年达到39%,发电量6万亿kW·h,减少CO2排放约71亿t,光伏发电将成为碳中和的绝对主力。近年来多晶硅生产能耗及成本大幅降低,单晶硅技术和金刚线切割技术的发展使得物料消耗也大幅下降,预计未来晶硅太阳能发电将在所有发电方式中成本最低,达到0.13元/kW·h,这为光伏发电规划目标的实现提供了保障。

    Abstract:

    Chinese carbon emission ranks first in the world, with an amount of 11.5 billion tons in 2020. In China’s primary energy consumption, fossil energy especially coal still remains dominant, which accounts for 57.7%. In recent years, although China’s carbon emission per unit GDP has decreased significantly, it is still higher than the world average. The development of polysilicon and crystalline silicon photovoltaic industry is expected to become an important support for clean energy and primary measure to achieve the goal of “carbon neutrality”. In 2019, China’s total photovoltaic power generation was 224.3 billion kW·h, accounting for 3.1% of the country’s total power generation. It is planned to reach 39% in 2050 when the power generation will be 6 trillion kW·h and the CO2 emission will be reduced by 7.1 billion tons approximately, which is the absolute main force of carbon neutrality. In recent years, the energy consumption and cost of polysilicon production have been greatly reduced. The development of monocrystalline silicon technology and diamond wire cutting technology has greatly reduced the material consumption. It is expected that the cost of crystalline silicon solar power generation will be the lowest among all power generation modes in the future, reaching 0.13RMB/kW·h, which provides a guarantee for the realization of the goal of photovoltaic power generation planning.

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严大洲,刘艳敏,万烨,等. 晶硅太阳能在“双碳”经济中的作用与影响[J].中国有色冶金,2021,50(5):1-6.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-07-31
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-24
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