基于遗传算法组合XGBoost模型的开采沉陷预测
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贵州盘江精煤股份有限公司金佳矿, 贵州 六盘水 553000

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韩连昌(1994—),男,云南宣威人,研究生学历,工程师,主要从事采矿工程。

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TD823

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Prediction of Mining Subsidence Based on Genetic Algorithm Combined with XGBoost Model
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    摘要:

    为了准确预测矿山开采引起的地表沉陷,引入遗传算法对XGBoost模型进行优化,并运用python程序语言开发了GA-XGBoost组合模型。首先通过随机初始化XGBoost的超参数向量,经过训练与测试得到模型的预测误差,通过GA对XGBoost模型进行优化,最终得到性能最佳的XGBoost模型,并对国内78例煤矿开采沉陷数据进行预测。预测结果表明:GA-XGBoost模型预测结果的R2(决定系数)为0.9318,RMSE(均方根误差)为0.3989,MAE(平均绝对误差)为0.2989。与单一的XGBoost、随机深林以及Gradient Boost等集成学习模型相比,GA-XGBoost模型开采沉陷预测精度更高。

    Abstract:

    The XGBoost ensemble learning algorithm has excellent performance in solving complex nonlinear relationship problems. In order to accurately predict the surface subsidence caused by mining, the genetic algorithm was introduced to optimize the XGBoost model, and the GA-XGBoost combined model was developed using the python programming language. Firstly, the hyperparameter vector of XGBoost is randomly initialized, the prediction error of the model is obtained after training and testing, and the XGBoost model is optimized by GA, and finally the XGBoost model with the best performance is obtained, and 78 domestic coal mining subsidence data are predicted. The prediction results show that the R2 (coefficient of determination) of the prediction results of the GA-XGBoost model is 0.9318, the RMSE (root mean square error) is 0.3989, and the MAE (mean absolute error) is 0.2989. Compared with ensemble learning models such as single XGBoost, random deep forest, and Gradient Boost, the GA-XGBoost model has higher mining subsidence prediction accuracy.

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韩连昌. 基于遗传算法组合XGBoost模型的开采沉陷预测[J].中国矿山工程,2025,54(2):9-14.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-24
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